Hinckley leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Hinckley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hinckley, ~25% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hinckley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hinckley leans more Republican than 5 of 25 neighbors.
Hinckley runs about 37 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Hinckley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hinckley. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Hinckley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hinckley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hinckley votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Hinckley runs about 37 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hinckley, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hinckley looks the way it does
Turnout in Hinckley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Friesland, MN R+42
- Beroun, MN R+41
- Sandstone, MN R+31
- Kroschel, MN R+48
- Brook Park, MN R+49
- Pine City, MN R+35
- Rock Creek, MN R+46
- Askov, MN R+39
- Finlayson, MN R+43
- Henriette, MN R+45
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sea Girt, NJ R+19
- West Barnstable, MA D+9
- Wilburton, OK R+61
- Hiawatha, KS R+38
- Spencer, WI R+41
- Wrightstown, WI R+31
- Independence, MN R+14
- Gillespie, IL R+39
- Afton, OK R+60
- West End, NC R+32
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.