Holgate Avenue Historic District leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Holgate Avenue Historic District typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holgate Avenue Historic District, ~26% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holgate Avenue Historic District compares
Holgate Avenue Historic District runs about 17 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Holgate Avenue Historic District. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Holgate Avenue Historic District leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holgate Avenue Historic District, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 16% of adults in Holgate Avenue Historic District hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Ohio average of 23%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Holgate Avenue Historic District sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 70%, below 78% of neighborhoods).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Holgate Avenue Historic District, Defiance, OH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Holgate Avenue Historic District looks the way it does
Turnout in Holgate Avenue Historic District sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Bryan Downtown Historic District, Bryan, OH R+30
- Arlington Park, Fort Wayne, IN R+19
- Canterbury Green, Fort Wayne, IN D+21
- Brookside, Findlay, OH R+17
- Findlay Downtown Historic District, Findlay, OH R+14
- Northside, Fort Wayne, IN D+17
- Maumee Uptown Historic District, Maumee, OH D+4
- Oxford, Fort Wayne, IN D+67
- Pettit-Rudisill, Fort Wayne, IN D+61
- Southwyck, Toledo, OH D+35
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Upper Dimond, Oakland, CA D+78
- South Park, Morgantown, WV D+32
- Downtown Bryan, Bryan, TX D+34
- Fox Farm, Great Falls, MT R+25
- Navco, Mobile, AL D+77
- Cypress Run, Coral Springs, FL D+10
- Painted Meadows, Santa Fe, TX R+29
- Woodmere, Jacksonville, FL R+6
- Hopecrest, Morgantown, WV D+26
- Edison, San Antonio, TX D+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.