Holmes, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Holmes

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Holmes leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.

 

About more than 99% of adults in Holmes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holmes, ~41% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~-1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Holmes compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Holmes leans more Republican than 88 of 96 neighbors.

Holmes runs about 30 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Holmes is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Holmes. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 21 points.

Why Holmes leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holmes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Holmes votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Holmes runs about 30 points more Republican.

High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout

Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Holmes, NY does.

Why turnout in Holmes looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Holmes is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Holmes own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Holmes have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.