Hopewell Junction, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hopewell Junction

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hopewell Junction leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.

 

About 86% of adults in Hopewell Junction typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hopewell Junction, ~36% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hopewell Junction compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Hopewell Junction leans more Republican than 101 of 117 neighbors.

Hopewell Junction runs about 29 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hopewell Junction is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Hopewell Junction leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hopewell Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Hopewell Junction votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 45%, modestly above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Hopewell Junction are family households, above 90% of cities. Hopewell Junction runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hopewell Junction, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Hopewell Junction looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hopewell Junction is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Hopewell Junction own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.