Farmers Mills leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Farmers Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Farmers Mills, ~34% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Farmers Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Farmers Mills leans more Republican than 78 of 117 neighbors.
Farmers Mills runs about 21 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Farmers Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Farmers Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Farmers Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Farmers Mills votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Farmers Mills runs about 21 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Farmers Mills are family households, above 76% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Farmers Mills, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Farmers Mills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Farmers Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Farmers Mills have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stormville, NY R+9
- Holmes, NY R+17
- Hopewell Junction, NY R+17
- Lake Carmel, NY R+17
- Carmel, NY R+13
- Fishkill, NY D+4
- Poughquag, NY R+23
- Wappingers Falls, NY R+4
- Mahopac, NY R+28
- Patterson, NY R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Bethany, DE D+11
- Berclair, TX R+49
- Tookland, VA R+66
- Ramsey, TX R+45
- Fountain Heights, TN R+64
- St. Johns, IL R+51
- Graveston, TN R+65
- Modale, IA R+50
- Comanche Creek, CO R+58
- Farnams, MA R+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.