Hopkins-Middle East is a Democratic stronghold. About 90% of voters here vote Democratic and 10% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Hopkins-Middle East typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hopkins-Middle East, ~42% vote Democratic, ~4% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hopkins-Middle East compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Hopkins-Middle East leans more Democratic than 33 of 50 neighbors.
Hopkins-Middle East runs about 52 points more Democratic than Maryland as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Hopkins-Middle East. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+88) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+73), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Hopkins-Middle East leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hopkins-Middle East, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Hopkins-Middle East live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 64% of adults in Hopkins-Middle East have never been married, above 96% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Hopkins-Middle East, Baltimore, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hopkins-Middle East looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 73% of households in Hopkins-Middle East rent, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in Hopkins-Middle East report food insecurity, above 88% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Hopkins-Middle East sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Madison-Eastend, Baltimore, MD D+85
- Patterson Park, Baltimore, MD D+74
- Fells Point, Baltimore, MD D+70
- Oldtown, Baltimore, MD D+77
- Greenmount, Baltimore, MD D+87
- Jonestown, Baltimore, MD D+68
- Berea, Baltimore, MD D+87
- Mount Vernon, Baltimore, MD D+80
- Mid-Town Belvedere, Baltimore, MD D+80
- Canton, Baltimore, MD D+58
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Kirkman North, Orlando, FL D+53
- Lyon Street, Santa Ana, CA D+31
- Dimond, Oakland, CA D+67
- Quintana Community, San Antonio, TX D+35
- Shiloh, York, PA R+12
- Old Town, Alexandria, VA D+54
- Walnut Village, Irvine, CA D+12
- Twin Lakes, Denver, CO D+27
- Carroll Manor, Takoma Park, MD D+84
- Ortega Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.