Walnut Village leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Walnut Village typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Village, ~39% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Walnut Village compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Walnut Village leans more Democratic than 7 of 33 neighbors.
Walnut Village runs about 8 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why Walnut Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 66% of adults in Walnut Village hold a bachelor's degree, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Walnut Village is about 32%, about 40 points below the U.S. average of 72%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Walnut Village, Irvine, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Walnut Village looks the way it does
Turnout in Walnut Village sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Ortega Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+11
- Quintana Community, San Antonio, TX D+35
- Lyon Street, Santa Ana, CA D+31
- Hopkins-Middle East, Baltimore, MD D+80
- Kirkman North, Orlando, FL D+53
- Dimond, Oakland, CA D+67
- Piper Glen Estates, Charlotte, NC D+5
- Shiloh, York, PA R+12
- Chinatown, Manhattan, NY D+41
- Liberty Wells, Salt Lake City, UT D+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.