Ortega Hills leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Ortega Hills typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ortega Hills, ~31% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ortega Hills compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ortega Hills leans more Democratic than 4 of 10 neighbors.
Ortega Hills runs about 24 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Ortega Hills is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Ortega Hills. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+28) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+23), a spread of about 51 points.
Why Ortega Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ortega Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in Ortega Hills have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 40%). Ortega Hills runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a never-married-heavy adult population tend to turn out at a lower rate; Ortega Hills, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ortega Hills looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ortega Hills is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 9 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Duclay Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+32
- Duclay, Jacksonville, FL D+17
- Argyle Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+5
- Wesconnett, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Oak Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Ortega Farms, Jacksonville, FL D+11
- McGirts Creek, Jacksonville, FL D+19
- Confederate Point, Jacksonville, FL D+20
- Cedar Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+17
- Settlers Landing, Jacksonville, FL R+7
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Walnut Village, Irvine, CA D+12
- Piper Glen Estates, Charlotte, NC D+5
- Quintana Community, San Antonio, TX D+35
- Chinatown, Manhattan, NY D+41
- Lyon Street, Santa Ana, CA D+31
- Liberty Wells, Salt Lake City, UT D+64
- Hopkins-Middle East, Baltimore, MD D+80
- Kirkman North, Orlando, FL D+53
- Dimond, Oakland, CA D+67
- Shiloh, York, PA R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.