Hopkins leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Hopkins typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hopkins, ~22% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hopkins compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hopkins leans more Republican than 61 of 71 neighbors.
Hopkins runs about 43 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Hopkins is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hopkins leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hopkins, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hopkins votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Hopkins runs about 43 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Hopkins sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 94% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hopkins, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hopkins looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hopkins is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lee Mont, VA R+27
- Greenbush, VA R+3
- Chesconessex, VA R+34
- Modest Town, VA R+3
- Parksley, VA Even
- Pastoria, VA D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Estelville, NJ R+42
- Esty, WV R+63
- Stuart Place, TX R+14
- Stuyvesant Falls, NY R+12
- Eloise, TX R+70
- Grafton, KS R+75
- Southwick, ID R+65
- Tiptop, KY R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.