Pastoria, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Pastoria

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Pastoria leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.

 

About 47% of adults in Pastoria typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pastoria, ~29% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Pastoria compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Pastoria is the most Democratic-leaning.

Pastoria runs about 18 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.

Why Pastoria leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pastoria, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 43% of residents in Pastoria are Black or African American, about 28 points above the Virginia average of 15%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in Pastoria have never been married, above 89% of cities.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Pastoria, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Pastoria looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pastoria is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 17 points below the Virginia average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 53% of households in Pastoria rent, compared to around 30% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 36% of adults in Pastoria report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.