Modest Town, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Modest Town

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Modest Town is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.

 

About 60% of adults in Modest Town typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Modest Town, ~29% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Modest Town compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Modest Town sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 50 leaning the other way.

Modest Town runs about 9 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.

Why Modest Town leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Modest Town. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Modest Town, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Modest Town looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Modest Town is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Modest Town report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.