Horton Bay leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Horton Bay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Horton Bay, ~38% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Horton Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Horton Bay leans more Republican than 10 of 35 neighbors.
Horton Bay runs about 11 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Horton Bay. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+17) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Horton Bay leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Horton Bay. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Horton Bay, MI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Horton Bay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Horton Bay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Horton Bay own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Horton Bay have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Burgess, MI R+10
- Zenith Heights, MI R+15
- Bay Shore, MI R+11
- Ironton, MI R+10
- Charlevoix, MI R+10
- Boyne City, MI R+19
- Walloon Lake, MI R+25
- Petoskey, MI Even
- Clarion, MI R+21
- East Jordan, MI R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bison, OK R+71
- Harleigh, PA R+40
- Twichell, TX R+83
- Navarino, WI R+53
- Brockton, GA R+66
- Brooks, MN R+53
- Fairport, MO R+66
- Neon, KY R+71
- Thornburg, VA R+26
- Homelake, CO R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.