Jamaica leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Jamaica typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jamaica, ~27% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jamaica compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Jamaica leans more Democratic than 19 of 29 neighbors.
Jamaica runs about 24 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Jamaica. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+65) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 60 points.
Why Jamaica leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Jamaica. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Jamaica, Queens, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Jamaica looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 13% of homes in Jamaica have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Kew Ggardens, Queens, NY D+9
- Fresh Meadows, Queens, NY D+5
- Hollis, Queens, NY D+49
- Richmond Hill, Queens, NY D+18
- Locust Manor, Queens, NY D+75
- St Albans, Queens, NY D+78
- South Ozone Park, Queens, NY D+31
- Rochdale Village, Queens, NY D+83
- Forest Hills, Queens, NY D+20
- Queens Village, Queens, NY D+50
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Paradise, Las Vegas, NV D+17
- Upper West Side, Manhattan, NY D+71
- Gravesend-Sheepshead Bay, Brooklyn, NY R+29
- Northeast Dallas-White Rock, Dallas, TX D+30
- Bedford-Stuyvesant, Brooklyn, NY D+77
- Maryvale, Phoenix, AZ D+29
- Mapleton-Flatlands, Brooklyn, NY D+4
- South Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA D+57
- Southeast Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA D+49
- North Last Vegas, North Las Vegas, NV D+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.