Maryvale leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 36% of adults in Maryvale typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Maryvale, ~24% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Maryvale compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Maryvale leans more Democratic than 4 of 6 neighbors.
Maryvale runs about 35 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Maryvale is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Maryvale. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Maryvale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Maryvale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Maryvale votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Maryvale runs about 35 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Maryvale, Phoenix, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Maryvale looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Maryvale is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 8 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Maryvale report food insecurity, above 86% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 70% of adults in Maryvale have completed high school, below 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ironwood Terrace, Glendale, AZ D+27
- Cartwright, Phoenix, AZ D+36
- Downtown Glendale, Glendale, AZ D+16
- Estrella, Phoenix, AZ D+27
- West Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ D+32
- Windsor Square, Glendale, AZ Even
- Alahambra, Phoenix, AZ D+27
- Alta Loma, Peoria, AZ R+3
- Greenbriar, Glendale, AZ R+4
- Estrella-Tolleson, Tolleson, AZ D+24
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Northeast Dallas-White Rock, Dallas, TX D+30
- South Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA D+57
- Paradise, Las Vegas, NV D+17
- Jamaica, Queens, NY D+36
- North Last Vegas, North Las Vegas, NV D+23
- Southeast, Houston, TX D+49
- Upper West Side, Manhattan, NY D+71
- Gravesend-Sheepshead Bay, Brooklyn, NY R+29
- Bedford-Stuyvesant, Brooklyn, NY D+77
- Mapleton-Flatlands, Brooklyn, NY D+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.