Jarales leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Jarales typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jarales, ~26% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jarales compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jarales leans more Republican than 18 of 22 neighbors.
Jarales runs about 28 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Jarales is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Jarales leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jarales, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Jarales drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Jarales runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Jarales, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Jarales looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Jarales is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Belen, NM R+14
- Casa Colorada, NM R+25
- La Constancia, NM R+19
- Bosque, NM R+16
- Veguita, NM R+18
- Sabinal, NM R+4
- Los Chaves, NM R+22
- El Cerro, NM R+20
- Los Lunas, NM R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mannboro, VA R+36
- Titus, GA R+56
- Kingsbury, NY R+38
- Forest City, IL R+52
- Cecilton, MD R+37
- Patterson, IA R+46
- McKey, OK R+62
- Hillgrove, WA R+18
- Williamsburg, MO R+53
- Etna, NH D+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.