Casa Colorada leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Casa Colorada typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Casa Colorada, ~20% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Casa Colorada compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Casa Colorada leans more Republican than 20 of 24 neighbors.
Casa Colorada runs about 31 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Casa Colorada is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Casa Colorada leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Casa Colorada, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Casa Colorada votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Casa Colorada runs about 31 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Casa Colorada, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Casa Colorada looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Casa Colorada is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Casa Colorada report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Casa Colorada have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Veguita, NM R+18
- Jarales, NM R+22
- Bosque, NM R+16
- Sabinal, NM R+4
- Belen, NM R+14
- La Constancia, NM R+19
- Bernardo, NM R+19
- Los Chaves, NM R+22
- El Cerro, NM R+20
- La Joya, NM R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pleasant Run, WV R+60
- Lake Tamarisk, CA R+33
- South Ripley, NY R+47
- East Quilcene, WA D+15
- Hassard, MO R+64
- Edison, NE R+74
- Grove Lake, MN R+55
- Hallsville, NY R+48
- East Salem, PA R+65
- Mozelle, KY R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.