Jardin is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Jardin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jardin, ~11% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jardin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jardin leans more Republican than 7 of 61 neighbors.
Jardin runs about 43 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jardin. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 59 points.
Why Jardin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jardin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in Jardin are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Jardin, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Jardin looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Jardin is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Jardin have completed high school, below 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Commerce, TX R+7
- Fairlie, TX R+64
- Horton, TX R+74
- Klondike, TX R+72
- Neylandville, TX R+53
- Emblem, TX R+80
- Jacobia, TX R+57
- Ladonia, TX R+50
- Campbell, TX R+69
- Ridgeway, TX R+78
Cities with Similar Populations
- Deskins, VA R+72
- Hamlin, VA R+68
- Abbyville, KS R+61
- Moorpark Home Acres, CA R+13
- Institute, WV D+47
- Iona, IN R+62
- Cordova, NE R+64
- Snowdoun, AL D+19
- Debs, MN R+45
- Pine Grove Beach, MI R+33
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.