Jay is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Jay typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jay, ~12% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jay leans more Republican than 13 of 52 neighbors.
Jay runs about 8 points more Republican than Oklahoma as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jay. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+45), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Jay leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Jay. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Jay, OK does.
Why turnout in Jay looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Jay is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 8 points below the Oklahoma average of 55%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in Jay report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Jay have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Zena, OK R+64
- Eucha, OK R+54
- Row, OK R+60
- Dennis, OK R+62
- Southwest City, MO R+53
- Maysville, AR R+61
- Grove, OK R+54
- Disney, OK R+58
- Spring Valley, MO R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Arrington, TN R+44
- Derby, NY R+19
- Dawson, GA D+38
- Silt, CO R+29
- West Berlin, NJ Even
- Uhland, TX D+3
- Summerland Key, FL R+27
- Whiteville, TN D+6
- Mount Carmel, TN R+61
- Lucerne Valley, CA R+35
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.