Derby leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Derby typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Derby, ~32% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Derby compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Derby leans more Republican than 32 of 69 neighbors.
Derby runs about 32 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Derby is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Derby. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Derby leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Derby, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Derby drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Derby runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Derby, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Derby looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Derby is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Evans, NY R+27
- Lakeview, NY R+15
- Angola, NY R+17
- Angola on the Lake, NY R+20
- Wanakah, NY R+9
- Eden, NY R+25
- Lake Erie Beach, NY R+16
- Brant, NY R+39
- North Collins, NY R+34
- Hamburg, NY R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jay, OK R+57
- Arrington, TN R+44
- Silt, CO R+29
- Dawson, GA D+38
- Uhland, TX D+3
- Summerland Key, FL R+27
- West Berlin, NJ Even
- Whiteville, TN D+6
- Mount Carmel, TN R+61
- Lucerne Valley, CA R+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.