Jeff-Vander-Lou is a Democratic stronghold. About 92% of voters here vote Democratic and 8% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Jeff-Vander-Lou typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jeff-Vander-Lou, ~42% vote Democratic, ~3% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jeff-Vander-Lou compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Jeff-Vander-Lou leans more Democratic than 22 of 28 neighbors.
Jeff-Vander-Lou runs about 103 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Jeff-Vander-Lou is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Jeff-Vander-Lou leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jeff-Vander-Lou, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Jeff-Vander-Lou is about 8%, about 64 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 54% of adults in Jeff-Vander-Lou have never been married, above 87% of neighborhoods. Jeff-Vander-Lou runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Jeff-Vander-Lou, St. Louis, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Jeff-Vander-Lou looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 77% of households in Jeff-Vander-Lou rent, about 52 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Jeff-Vander-Lou sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 47% of adults in Jeff-Vander-Lou report food insecurity, above 97% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Grand Center, St. Louis, MO D+74
- The Greater Ville, St. Louis, MO D+87
- Midtown St. Louis, St. Louis, MO D+71
- Downtown West, St. Louis, MO D+71
- O'Fallon, St. Louis, MO D+87
- Central West End, St. Louis, MO D+69
- Downtown, St. Louis, MO D+67
- Penrose, St. Louis, MO D+86
- The Gate District, St. Louis, MO D+75
- Forest Park Southeast, St. Louis, MO D+73
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Wilson, Oxnard, CA D+39
- Wallhaven, Akron, OH D+46
- Alta Loma, Peoria, AZ R+3
- Southland, San Angelo, TX R+43
- River Oaks, Fort Lauderdale, FL R+2
- Friends of Friedrich Wilderness Park, San Antonio, TX Even
- Columbia, Bellingham, WA D+72
- Sussex Place, Alafaya, FL D+26
- Waterfront, Boston, MA D+45
- Terrace Hills, Mobile, AL R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.