The Gate District is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 54% of adults in The Gate District typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in The Gate District, ~47% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How The Gate District compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, The Gate District leans more Democratic than 26 of 35 neighbors.
The Gate District runs about 94 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while The Gate District is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within The Gate District. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+82) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+67), a spread of about 14 points.
Why The Gate District leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for The Gate District, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in The Gate District live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in The Gate District have never been married, above 83% of neighborhoods. The Gate District runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; The Gate District, St. Louis, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in The Gate District looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. The Gate District sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Midtown St. Louis, St. Louis, MO D+71
- Tower Grove East, St. Louis, MO D+76
- Shaw, St. Louis, MO D+75
- Soulard, St. Louis, MO D+64
- Benton Park, St. Louis, MO D+74
- Benton Park West, St. Louis, MO D+74
- Downtown West, St. Louis, MO D+71
- Grand Center, St. Louis, MO D+74
- Forest Park Southeast, St. Louis, MO D+73
- Downtown, St. Louis, MO D+67
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.