Jefferson leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 33% of adults in Jefferson typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jefferson, ~10% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jefferson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jefferson leans more Republican than 13 of 118 neighbors.
Politically, Jefferson sits close to the rest of West Virginia.
Why Jefferson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jefferson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 4% of adults in Jefferson hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the West Virginia average of 17%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 88% of residents in Jefferson drive to work alone, above 89% of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Jefferson, WV does.
Why turnout in Jefferson looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 82% of adults in Jefferson have completed high school, about 7 points below the U.S. average of 90%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Jefferson report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Institute, WV D+47
- Dunbar, WV D+3
- St. Albans, WV R+27
- Tornado, WV R+53
- Upper Falls, WV R+42
- South Charleston, WV R+5
- Nitro, WV R+27
- Cross Lanes, WV R+25
- Alum Creek, WV R+57
- Loudendale, WV R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Seneca, WI R+29
- Osiris, MO R+70
- Cottonwood, OK R+69
- Creeksville, NC R+25
- Roundhill, AL R+2
- Miramonte, CA R+48
- Howard, TN R+66
- Forestville, PA R+44
- Drakes Mills, PA R+42
- Catons Grove, TN R+67
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from West Virginia Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.