Jerome is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Jerome typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jerome, ~13% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jerome compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jerome leans more Republican than 15 of 44 neighbors.
Jerome runs about 41 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Jerome leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jerome, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 80% of households in Jerome are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Jerome, MO sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Jerome looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Jerome own their home, about 12 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Franks, MO R+65
- Newburg, MO R+57
- Dixon, MO R+64
- Devils Elbow, MO R+63
- Hooker, MO R+59
- Hayden, MO R+68
- Flat, MO R+57
- Doolittle, MO R+50
- Helm, MO R+69
- St. Robert, MO R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lake Ka-ho, IL R+51
- Hunter, MO R+74
- West Kaysville, UT R+47
- Rutland, IN R+51
- Empeyville, NY R+54
- Tumbleton, AL R+66
- Redlawn, TX R+51
- Harrisville, IN R+61
- South Ashfield, MA D+45
- Eaton, TN R+71
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.