Johnson City leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Johnson City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Johnson City, ~31% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Johnson City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Johnson City leans more Democratic than 100 of 103 neighbors.
Johnson City runs about 5 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Johnson City. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Johnson City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Johnson City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 78% of residents in Johnson City live in densely developed areas, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in Johnson City have never been married, above 95% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Johnson City, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Johnson City looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 45% of households in Johnson City rent, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Endwell, NY D+7
- Binghamton, NY D+14
- Port Dickinson, NY Even
- Vestal, NY D+20
- Endicott, NY Even
- Foster, NY R+18
- Castle Creek, NY R+29
- Nanticoke, NY R+23
- Kattelville, NY R+23
- Conklin Forks, NY R+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Morton, IL R+25
- Byron, GA R+26
- Chardon, OH R+32
- Cedarburg, WI R+5
- Spring Creek, NV R+64
- Lakeland North, WA D+16
- Johnstown, CO R+32
- Tehachapi, CA R+29
- Somerton, AZ D+8
- Chestnut Hill, MA D+60
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.