Vestal leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Vestal typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vestal, ~41% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vestal compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vestal leans more Democratic than 98 of 99 neighbors.
Vestal runs about 8 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vestal. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+51) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 56 points.
Why Vestal leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vestal, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 46% of adults in Vestal hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Vestal sits in the top fifth on density (about 54%, above 88% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Vestal have never been married, above 97% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Vestal, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Vestal looks the way it does
Turnout in Vestal sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Endwell, NY D+7
- Johnson City, NY D+8
- Endicott, NY Even
- Binghamton, NY D+14
- Foster, NY R+18
- Port Dickinson, NY Even
- Brackney, PA R+43
- Apalachin, NY R+16
- Conklin Forks, NY R+32
- Little Meadows, PA R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Auburndale, FL R+36
- Lake Magdalene, FL R+8
- Arroyo Grande, CA D+3
- Maumee, OH R+3
- Belmont, CA D+53
- Glen Cove, NY Even
- Dickinson, TX R+12
- Jonesborough, TN R+55
- Okemos, MI D+42
- Fleming Island, FL R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.