Jonathan is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Jonathan typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jonathan, ~14% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jonathan compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jonathan leans more Republican than 6 of 14 neighbors.
Jonathan runs about 24 points more Republican than Idaho as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jonathan. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+52), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Jonathan leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jonathan, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Jonathan are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Jonathan, ID sits below the national average on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Jonathan looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Jonathan own their home, about 12 points above the Idaho average of 79%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Jonathan sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Weiser, ID R+52
- Eaton, ID R+62
- Crystal, ID R+63
- Huntington, OR R+59
- Payette, ID R+53
- Ontario, OR R+34
- Fruitland, ID R+56
- Midvale, ID R+76
- Willowcreek, OR R+74
- Weatherby, OR R+57
Cities with Similar Populations
- Indian Creek, TX R+80
- Whitharral, TX R+82
- Deane, KY R+75
- Portland, FL R+52
- Beulah, MS D+47
- Anchor, IL R+52
- Forester, MI R+41
- Prospect Heights, CO R+41
- Sand Run, WV R+66
- La Salle, MN R+43
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.