Kalaupapa leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Kalaupapa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kalaupapa, ~33% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kalaupapa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kalaupapa leans more Democratic than 5 of 8 neighbors.
Kalaupapa runs about 6 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Why Kalaupapa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kalaupapa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 46% of adults in Kalaupapa have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 25%).
Renting and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kalaupapa, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kalaupapa looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 55% of households in Kalaupapa rent, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Kalaupapa report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kualapuu, HI D+16
- Kaunakakai, HI D+17
- Kalae, HI D+16
- Kamalo, HI D+19
- Mauna Loa, HI D+14
- Koele, HI D+26
- Lanai City, HI D+26
- Napili, HI D+12
- Honokowai, HI D+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Daysville, TN R+69
- Delville, KY R+55
- Frederick, IL R+51
- Interior, SD R+65
- Longrie, MI R+45
- Long Key, FL R+32
- Lowery, AL R+90
- Neff, OK R+69
- Willsboro Point, NY R+13
- Forest Hill, MS D+36
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.