Kalae, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kalae

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kalae leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.

 

About 51% of adults in Kalae typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kalae, ~30% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kalae compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Kalae leans more Democratic than 1 of 5 neighbors.

Kalae runs about 7 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Why Kalae leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kalae, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in Kalae have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 28%).

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kalae, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Kalae looks the way it does

Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 27% of adults in Kalae report food insecurity, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 97% of adults in Kalae have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.