Lanai City leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Lanai City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lanai City, ~28% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lanai City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lanai City leans more Democratic than 10 of 12 neighbors.
Politically, Lanai City sits close to the rest of Hawaii.
Why Lanai City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lanai City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 32% of adults in Lanai City hold a bachelor's degree, above 77% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lanai City, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lanai City looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 45% of households in Lanai City rent, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 11% of homes in Lanai City have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Koele, HI D+26
- Kamalo, HI D+19
- Honokowai, HI D+18
- Lahaina, HI D+17
- Kelawea, HI D+15
- Launiupoko, HI D+21
- Kaunakakai, HI D+17
- Napili, HI D+12
- Olowalu, HI D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glendale, OH D+16
- Oakwood Hills, IL R+10
- Eldorado, TX R+43
- Wimer, OR R+33
- Greenup, IL R+55
- Grey Forest, TX R+20
- Pinehurst, ID R+45
- Centerville, TX R+72
- Woodward, IA R+32
- Linden, AL R+7
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.