Koele leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Koele typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Koele, ~25% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Koele compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Koele leans more Democratic than 12 of 13 neighbors.
Politically, Koele sits close to the rest of Hawaii.
Why Koele leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Koele, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 31% of adults in Koele have never been married, above 78% of cities.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Koele, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Koele looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 49% of households in Koele rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 11% of homes in Koele have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lanai City, HI D+26
- Kamalo, HI D+19
- Honokowai, HI D+18
- Lahaina, HI D+17
- Kelawea, HI D+15
- Kaunakakai, HI D+17
- Launiupoko, HI D+21
- Napili, HI D+12
- Olowalu, HI D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wilbur Park, MO D+11
- Fordoche, LA R+64
- Farmington, IA R+53
- Fair Bluff, NC Even
- Crossville, IL R+68
- Ousley, GA R+38
- West Chesterfield, NH D+5
- Paxton, TX R+77
- Edgecomb, ME D+9
- Chauncey, OH D+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.