Kalivas Union, Manchester, NH Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kalivas Union

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kalivas Union leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.

 

About 38% of adults in Kalivas Union typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kalivas Union, ~25% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kalivas Union compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Kalivas Union leans more Democratic than 10 of 12 neighbors.

Kalivas Union runs about 29 points more Democratic than New Hampshire as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Kalivas Union. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+49) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+20), a spread of about 28 points.

Why Kalivas Union leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kalivas Union, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in Kalivas Union have never been married, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 29%.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Kalivas Union, Manchester, NH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Kalivas Union looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kalivas Union is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 22 points below the New Hampshire average of 68%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 78% of households in Kalivas Union rent, compared to around 54% in nearby neighborhoods. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Kalivas Union report food insecurity, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.