Keansburg, NJ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Keansburg

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Keansburg leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.

 

About 66% of adults in Keansburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Keansburg, ~28% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Keansburg compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Keansburg leans more Republican than 142 of 183 neighbors.

Keansburg runs about 21 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Keansburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Keansburg. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 27 points.

Why Keansburg leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Keansburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Keansburg votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, modestly above the New Jersey average of 61%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Keansburg runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Keansburg, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Keansburg looks the way it does

Turnout in Keansburg sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.