Kellerville is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Kellerville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kellerville, ~12% vote Democratic, ~73% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kellerville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kellerville leans more Republican than 39 of 47 neighbors.
Kellerville runs about 54 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Kellerville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kellerville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Kellerville, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Kellerville sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 84% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Kellerville are family households, above 81% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Kellerville, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Kellerville looks the way it does
Turnout in Kellerville sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shelbyville, MO R+63
- Leonard, MO R+70
- Duncans Bridge, MO R+71
- Bethel, MO R+72
- Lentner, MO R+70
- Clarence, MO R+71
- Shelbina, MO R+58
- Plevna, MO R+73
- Redman, MO R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alfordsville, IN R+70
- Moro Bay, AR R+59
- Monie, MD R+49
- Milo, IL R+46
- Millhurst, IL R+34
- Centerville, IL R+70
- Salineno, TX R+10
- Rinard Mills, OH R+67
- Swanders, OH R+56
- Elamville, AL R+19
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.