Kenansville is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Kenansville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kenansville, ~7% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kenansville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kenansville is the most Republican-leaning.
Kenansville runs about 58 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Kenansville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kenansville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in Kenansville are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Kenansville sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Kenansville, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Kenansville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kenansville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Kenansville rent, above 83% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Kenansville have completed high school, below 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake Marian Highlands, FL R+67
- River Ranch, FL R+53
- Fedhaven, FL R+62
- Indian Lake Estates, FL R+47
- Pine Grove, FL R+38
- Nalcrest, FL R+52
- St. Cloud, FL R+21
- Palm Bay, FL R+10
- West Melbourne, FL R+21
- Narcoossee, FL R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Knobtown, MS R+11
- Mountainville, NY Even
- Hidalgo, IL R+64
- Bellona, NY R+16
- Soboba Hot Springs, CA R+14
- Fairfax, OH R+67
- Bevinsville, KY R+59
- Russian Mission, AK D+17
- Long Lake, WI R+51
- Guinda, CA R+19
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.