Keswick, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Keswick

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Keswick leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.

 

About 90% of adults in Keswick typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Keswick, ~48% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Keswick compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Keswick leans more Democratic than 64 of 75 neighbors.

Politically, Keswick sits close to the rest of Virginia.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Keswick. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+30), a spread of about 57 points.

Why Keswick leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Keswick, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 63% of adults in Keswick hold a bachelor's degree, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Keswick is about 78%, below 67% of cities.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Keswick, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Keswick looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Keswick is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Keswick have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.