Kirkville leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Kirkville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirkville, ~32% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kirkville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kirkville leans more Republican than 51 of 123 neighbors.
Kirkville runs about 33 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Kirkville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kirkville. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Kirkville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kirkville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kirkville votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Kirkville runs about 33 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Kirkville, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kirkville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Kirkville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Kirkville own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Manlius, NY R+14
- Minoa, NY Even
- Chittenango, NY R+11
- Bridgeport, NY R+17
- Eagle Village, NY D+11
- North Chittenango, NY R+27
- East Syracuse, NY D+8
- Fayetteville, NY D+31
- Manlius, NY D+20
- Whitelaw, NY R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Desert Edge, CA R+2
- Edgewood, OH R+22
- Nahunta, GA R+76
- Oley, PA R+30
- Havana, IL R+40
- Masontown, PA R+37
- Mount Holly Springs, PA R+29
- Petersburg, WV R+65
- Carroll, OH R+44
- North Richmond, CA D+53
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.