Manlius, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Manlius

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Manlius leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.

 

About 87% of adults in Manlius typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manlius, ~52% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Manlius compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Manlius leans more Democratic than 126 of 130 neighbors.

Manlius runs about 8 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Manlius. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 31 points.

Why Manlius leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manlius, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 66% of adults in Manlius hold a bachelor's degree, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Manlius sits in the top fifth on density (about 53%, above 88% of cities).

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Manlius, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Manlius looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Manlius is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Manlius have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.