Kirtland Afb is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 28% of adults in Kirtland Afb typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirtland Afb, ~14% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~72% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kirtland Afb compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kirtland Afb sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 19 leaning the other way.
Kirtland Afb runs about 8 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Kirtland Afb leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kirtland Afb. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kirtland Afb, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kirtland Afb looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in Kirtland Afb rent, about 75 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Kirtland Afb have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Kirtland Afb sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Albuquerque, NM D+14
- South Valley, NM D+18
- Los Ranchos de Albuquerque, NM D+26
- North Valley, NM D+14
- Los Padillas, NM R+3
- Zamora, NM R+8
- Cedar Crest, NM Even
- Isleta Village Proper, NM D+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Spelterville, IN R+44
- Rock Hill, AL R+49
- High Gate, MO R+59
- Woolford, MD R+51
- Otto, NY R+44
- Alpena, SD R+56
- Stones Mill, VA R+71
- Hunt, AZ R+47
- Salladasburg, PA R+66
- Nason, MS R+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.