Los Padillas is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Los Padillas typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Los Padillas, ~22% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Los Padillas compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Los Padillas sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 11 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 18 leaning the other way.
Los Padillas runs about 9 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Los Padillas. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Los Padillas leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Los Padillas. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Los Padillas, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Los Padillas looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Los Padillas is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 9 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in Los Padillas report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Los Padillas have completed high school, below 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Isleta, NM D+36
- Isleta Village Proper, NM D+36
- South Valley, NM D+18
- Bosque Farms, NM R+12
- Peralta, NM R+17
- Los Lentes, NM R+10
- Valencia, NM R+17
- Kirtland Afb, NM Even
- Los Lunas, NM R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fitzhugh, OK R+70
- Thomson, MN R+14
- Ogden, AR R+36
- Maples, IN R+55
- Cottage Hill, FL R+63
- Gardner, VA R+71
- Silver Lake, TN R+72
- Fairplay, GA R+42
- Sand Lake, WI R+31
- Bud, IN R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.