North Valley leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 80% of adults in North Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Valley, ~46% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Valley leans more Democratic than 16 of 28 neighbors.
North Valley runs about 8 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Valley. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 14 points.
Why North Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 92% of residents in North Valley live in densely developed areas, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and North Valley sits in the top quarter (about 34%, above 81% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in North Valley have never been married, above 80% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; North Valley, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in North Valley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Los Ranchos de Albuquerque, NM D+26
- Corrales, NM D+13
- Albuquerque, NM D+14
- Paradise Hills, NM D+6
- Rio Rancho, NM R+4
- Kirtland Afb, NM Even
- Bernalillo, NM D+10
- South Valley, NM D+18
- Ranchitos, NM R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bridgeton, MO D+16
- Fairview, OR D+22
- Thurmont, MD R+29
- Aberdeen, NC R+16
- Queensbury, NY Even
- Geneva, OH R+30
- Mcdonald, PA R+22
- Oakland, TN R+33
- Newcastle, OK R+56
- Park Hills, MO R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.