Koehler leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Koehler typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Koehler, ~46% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Koehler compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Koehler is the most Democratic-leaning.
Koehler runs about 16 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Koehler leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Koehler, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Koehler is about 43%, about 29 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Koehler have never been married, above 77% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Koehler, VA sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Koehler looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Koehler own their home, about 15 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Koehler sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Horse Pasture, VA R+26
- Martinsville, VA D+7
- Fieldale, VA R+33
- Chestnut Knob, VA R+21
- Preston, VA R+44
- Collinsville, VA R+30
- Stanleytown, VA R+41
- Jones Creek, VA R+15
- Ridgeway, VA R+41
- Spencer, VA R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ola, ID R+63
- Old Frame, PA R+56
- Wakenda, MO R+68
- York, WI R+35
- Lebam, WA R+28
- Benson, PA R+53
- Johnstown, NE R+74
- North Sherburne, VT D+17
- Coopersville, PA R+58
- Utica, MD R+46
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.