Kyle leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Kyle typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kyle, ~31% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kyle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kyle leans more Democratic than 33 of 44 neighbors.
Kyle runs about 21 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Kyle is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kyle. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Kyle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kyle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 66% of residents in Kyle live in densely developed areas, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Kyle sits in the top quarter (about 31%, above 76% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in Kyle have never been married, above 90% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kyle, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Kyle looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kyle is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mountain City, TX R+9
- Uhland, TX D+3
- Buda, TX Even
- Niederwald, TX Even
- Reedville, TX R+9
- Maxwell, TX R+13
- Manchaca, TX D+21
- San Marcos, TX D+20
- San Leanna, TX D+40
- Mustang Ridge, TX D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Horizon West, FL R+7
- Nurillo, TX R+5
- Holladay, UT D+24
- Oregon City, OR Even
- Chicopee, MA D+7
- Culver City, CA D+51
- Punta Gorda, FL R+33
- Crestview, FL R+36
- Friendswood, TX R+27
- Four Corners, FL R+6
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.