Buda is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Buda typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buda, ~37% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buda compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buda sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 31 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 16 leaning the other way.
Buda runs about 16 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Buda sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buda. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+31), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Buda leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buda, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Buda votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Buda runs about 16 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Buda, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Buda looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Buda is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mountain City, TX R+9
- Manchaca, TX D+21
- San Leanna, TX D+40
- Kyle, TX D+7
- Niederwald, TX Even
- Creedmoor, TX D+29
- Uhland, TX D+3
- Mustang Ridge, TX D+3
- Mendoza, TX R+11
- Sunset Valley, TX D+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Parkville, MD D+39
- Clovis, NM R+31
- Hobbs, NM R+43
- Elmwood Park, IL D+19
- Laurel, MD D+58
- Golden, CO D+29
- Bear, DE D+32
- Belleville, MI D+11
- North Atlanta, GA D+38
- Chatsworth, CA D+16
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.