Manchaca, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Manchaca

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Manchaca leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.

 

About 69% of adults in Manchaca typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manchaca, ~42% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Manchaca compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Manchaca leans more Democratic than 41 of 49 neighbors.

Manchaca runs about 35 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Manchaca is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Manchaca. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+39) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 58 points.

Why Manchaca leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manchaca, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Manchaca hold a bachelor's degree, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Manchaca sits in the top fifth on density (about 45%, above 86% of cities). Manchaca runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Manchaca, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Manchaca looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Manchaca is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.