Mustang Ridge is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Mustang Ridge typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mustang Ridge, ~27% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mustang Ridge compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mustang Ridge leans more Democratic than 33 of 49 neighbors.
Mustang Ridge runs about 17 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Mustang Ridge is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mustang Ridge. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+31), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Mustang Ridge leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mustang Ridge, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mustang Ridge votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Mustang Ridge runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mustang Ridge, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Mustang Ridge looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mustang Ridge is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 6 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mendoza, TX R+11
- Niederwald, TX Even
- Elroy, TX D+7
- Lytton Springs, TX R+7
- Dale, TX R+13
- Creedmoor, TX D+29
- Uhland, TX D+3
- Buda, TX Even
- Del Valle, TX D+20
- San Leanna, TX D+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hague, VA D+8
- Gilbertville, MA R+11
- Kachemak, AK R+22
- Chatsworth, IL R+58
- Table Rock, OR R+11
- Orrick, MO R+60
- Wellston, MI R+36
- Clarks Green, PA D+8
- Alden, MI R+21
- Sidney, IA R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.