Marshall leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Marshall typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marshall, ~21% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marshall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Marshall is the least Republican-leaning.
Marshall runs about 7 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Marshall. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Marshall leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Marshall, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Marshall votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 60%, far above the Missouri average of 22%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Marshall, MO does.
Why turnout in Marshall looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Marshall is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Marshall rent, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Napton, MO R+56
- Orearville, MO R+56
- Stanhope, MO R+60
- Mount Leonard, MO R+66
- Slater, MO R+45
- Marshall Junction, MO R+66
- Malta Bend, MO R+60
- Miami, MO R+61
- Nelson, MO R+65
- Gilliam, MO R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Whiteville, NC R+23
- Hooksett, NH D+6
- Cherry Hill Mall, NJ D+26
- Brookside, DE D+24
- Hazel Park, MI D+18
- South Charleston, WV R+5
- La Grande, OR R+21
- Malibu, CA D+27
- Midland, GA R+6
- Ville Platte, LA R+18
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.