Lehman Hot Springs leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Lehman Hot Springs typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lehman Hot Springs, ~21% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lehman Hot Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lehman Hot Springs leans more Republican than 1 of 6 neighbors.
Lehman Hot Springs runs about 45 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Lehman Hot Springs is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lehman Hot Springs. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Lehman Hot Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lehman Hot Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Lehman Hot Springs live in densely developed areas, about 29 points below the Oregon average of 31%. Lehman Hot Springs runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Lehman Hot Springs, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lehman Hot Springs looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lehman Hot Springs is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Perry, OR R+39
- La Grande, OR R+21
- Meacham, OR R+49
- Ukiah, OR R+46
- Island City, OR R+46
- Pilot Rock, OR R+51
- Summerville, OR R+48
- Dale, OR R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Michigan, ND R+43
- Moose Junction, WI R+29
- Mill Creek, TN R+72
- White Rock, MI R+42
- Oak Park, OH R+59
- North Cutler, ME R+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.