La Mesa is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 63% of adults in La Mesa typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in La Mesa, ~31% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How La Mesa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, La Mesa sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 11 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 13 leaning the other way.
La Mesa runs about 8 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole.
Why La Mesa leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in La Mesa. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; La Mesa, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in La Mesa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. La Mesa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 8 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- San Miguel, NM Even
- Mesquite, NM R+3
- Vado, NM D+2
- Santo Tomas, NM R+4
- Chamberino, NM Even
- Berino, NM R+4
- Mesilla Park, NM D+19
- Anthony, NM D+5
- Mesilla, NM D+8
- La Union, NM R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Buckhead, GA R+58
- Arlington, VT D+16
- Westfield, NC R+60
- Deer River, MN R+24
- Bergen, NY R+34
- Hemphill, TX R+59
- Lexington, IL R+40
- Jayess, MS R+62
- Gosport, IN R+52
- Richfield, NC R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.