Mesquite is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Mesquite typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mesquite, ~25% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mesquite compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mesquite leans more Republican than 13 of 23 neighbors.
Mesquite runs about 9 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mesquite. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Mesquite leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Mesquite. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Mesquite, NM does.
Why turnout in Mesquite looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mesquite is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 9 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 41% of adults in Mesquite report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 59% of adults in Mesquite have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Vado, NM D+2
- La Mesa, NM Even
- San Miguel, NM Even
- Berino, NM R+4
- Chamberino, NM Even
- Santo Tomas, NM R+4
- Mesilla Park, NM D+19
- Anthony, NM D+5
- Anthony, TX D+6
- Mesilla, NM D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Moss Landing, CA D+16
- McLendon-Chisholm, TX R+52
- Waymart, PA R+42
- Muttontown, NY R+11
- West Sayville, NY R+18
- Loretto, PA R+50
- Birchwood, TN R+67
- Portageville, MO R+43
- Deer Lodge, MT R+44
- Howey-in-the-Hills, FL R+52
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.