San Miguel is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 48% of adults in San Miguel typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in San Miguel, ~24% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How San Miguel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, San Miguel sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 15 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 8 leaning the other way.
San Miguel runs about 6 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole.
Why San Miguel leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in San Miguel. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; San Miguel, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in San Miguel looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. San Miguel is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 8 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in San Miguel report food insecurity, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Mesa, NM Even
- Mesquite, NM R+3
- Santo Tomas, NM R+4
- Vado, NM D+2
- Mesilla Park, NM D+19
- Chamberino, NM Even
- Berino, NM R+4
- Mesilla, NM D+8
- Anthony, NM D+5
- Las Cruces, NM D+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hale, WI R+28
- Encinal, NM D+29
- Hatton, WA R+61
- Orbit, VA R+32
- Greenvine, TX R+68
- Newsom, NC R+60
- Middle Water, TX R+86
- Terry, TN R+66
- Etna, MN R+39
- Kendall, KS R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.